Brian
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Post by Brian on Nov 12, 2024 0:00:15 GMT -8
I'm watching a lot of tight races in California, especially the nearby 27th District in Santa Clarita and the Antelope Valley that was in my congressional district until the blessed 2012 reapportionment that returned Tujunga to Adam Schiff. MAGA incumbent Mike Garcia currently has the lead with 50.68 percent -- only 3,240 votes separate him from Democrat George Whitesides. That was the count on Thursday evening. Whitesides had actually led in the first county registrar's report on Tuesday of the initial mail in ballots combined with early voting at polling places. Then Garcia won the election day vote and took a very slim lead. By Saturday, it was gone. On Monday, Whitesides pulled ahead by nearly 7,000 votes and Garcia conceded. How sweet it is: Democrat Katie Hill, a talented community organizer, fought hard for that seat but resigned a year later because of a stupid sex scandal. Garcia managed to win a special election and re-election in 2020 and 2022 -- all three times against the area's incumbent Democratic Assembly member -- and once by only 333 votes because she got no help from the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. Thankfully, the DCCC finally learned from that lesson. It poured money into several California races this year. Looks like State Senator Dave Min will keep the 47th District Democratic after Katie Porter gave it up to run for U.S. Senate -- he now has 3,214 more votes than Republican Scott Baugh as the progressive tilt in the post-election day count rolls along. And two more seats could flip. Democrat attorney Derek Tran still has a chance to defeat Rep. Michelle Steel in the 45th District in Orange County-- he's only 3,908 votes behind with 16 percent left to add to the tally. In Riverside County's 41st District, Democrat Will Rollins trails 30-year incumbent Ken Calvert in their rematch of 2022 by 7,548 votes with 26 percent uncounted, an even higher hurdle.
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Post by ballots on Nov 14, 2024 14:02:54 GMT -8
----- Forwarded Message ----- From: Irene Kao, Courage California <info@couragecampaign.org> Sent: Thursday, November 14, 2024 at 10:39:35 AM PST Subject: URGENT: 161,000 ballots in CA may not be counted Hello, Congressional races in California are still too close to call -- and the ballots that could win them may not be counted. The 9th, 13th, and 21st districts are still counting ballots for the House of Representatives, and each race is separated by just a few thousand votes. As of this morning in California’s 45th Congressional district, Michelle Steel is leading Derek Tran by less than 350 votes.(1) But in California, 161,000 ballots have been set aside because of an issue -- either they weren’t signed correctly (or at all) or weren’t filled out properly.(2) If they aren’t fixed in the next two weeks, they’ll be thrown out. Have you checked to make sure your ballot was counted? Click here to find out! CHECK YOUR BALLOT - california.ballottrax.net/voter/When we say every vote counts, we mean it! Congress isn’t the only body with seats up for grabs. Races from state legislature to municipal seats are down to a handful of votes -- and the votes in that pile of 161,000 ballots could make all the difference. Fortunately, even if your ballot wasn’t signed correctly or is being held for another reason, you have the right to “cure” it by visiting your local election office. But time is running out -- ballots must be cured by December 1.(3) In the primary, more than 108,000 ballots were rejected because they weren’t corrected in time.(4) Your ballot could be the one that makes the difference for a progressive champion or another Democrat in the House in this election -- check now to make sure you’re not one of the 161,000 waiting to be cured! Track your ballot and find out if you need to cure it today. And then share with your friends and family! california.ballottrax.net/voter/Thank you for being with us. –Irene, along with Annie, Angela, Isidra, Cecilia, Jen, and Lindsay (the Courage team) SUPPORT OUR WORK Footnotes: 1. www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/california-us-house-district-45-results2. www.latimes.com/politics/story/2024-11-13/ballot-curing-california-counts-votes-close-house-races3. www.sfchronicle.com/politics/article/ballot-curing-california-election-19881057.php---
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Post by ballots on Nov 14, 2024 14:58:47 GMT -8
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Brian
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Post by Brian on Nov 19, 2024 0:00:13 GMT -8
As California's county registrars post their daily tallies, the presidential winner's share of the national popular vote has eroded -- over the weekend, it slipped below 50 percent. Is this the mandate that Republican office holders have been talking about for the last two weeks? Small consolation, but I'm here tonight to celebrate the impending defeat of Michelle Steel, who ran the worst TV ads at the end of her campaign for reelection, tying her opponent to accused sexual predators because he represented them in court under the Sixth Amendment of the Constitution that she swore to uphold. Every time I saw one of her ubiquitous spots on local broadcast channels, some featuring scared women, I wondered if some of Tran's clients might have been found not guilty. Anyway, Steel led Tran by 11,000 votes when the count started on election night. A week later: Democrat attorney Derek Tran still has a chance to defeat Rep. Michelle Steel in the 45th District [mostly] in Orange County -- he's only 3,908 votes behind with 16 percent left to add to the tally. I'll admit that I checked the secretary of state's website daily after that to get my endorphins. By the weekend, Tran overtook Steel by 36 votes. Monday's report has him 102 votes ahead. An estimated 94 percent of the ballots have been processed. Every day, the number of ballots added to the count has dwindled but every report since election night has added to Tran's margin. County registrars must be finished by December 6, two weeks from now. I don't expect Michelle Steel to concede anytime soon, despite the trend. I heard that she's raising money for a recount, which would be appropriate if she winds up losing by a just few dozen votes. Steel campaigned this year and in 2022 -- when she branded her Chinese-American opponent as a Communist because he had taught English in China a decade earlier -- with all the dirt and flair of her Orange County predecessors Richard Nixon and Robert Dornan. These are different times indeed. Yet we'll never know if she's a full member of the MAGAverse -- she missed the certification vote on January 6, 2021 because she said she had Covid.
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